Editor’s Note — August 27, 2019 ←
As the election day draws closer, candidates and the media are getting more desperate to try and sway voters. Every week, a politician tries to hijack the candidate, a media outlet might take a political risk or an arm of the government makes an unusual announcement. It’s almost as if the 2016 election never happened. If you had made this list in 2016, you would likely be living in California!
Here’s the greatest hits:
Mexico’s congressional elections: Aug. 28
The electoral college was used in the 2016 election. While the verdict isn’t yet final, Mexico’s two-round presidential election had to battle over the 38 million Mexican registered voters during the July 1 election. On the first round, Meade beat the former President, Felipe Calderon and challengers Noriega and Centeno.
The presidential winner will be decided in the second round in December with half of the candidates receiving a second round vote. Unlike the U.S., where winning the popular vote doesn’t determine election results, Mexico’s election is decided via the electoral college. Currently, President Pena Nieto is just 1 percent ahead of his political rival Manuel Baldizon, a former mayor of Mexico City, with just over 11 percent of the vote, according to El Financiero. Although this may seem small, one is not alone in this unfamiliar territory. Both Donald Trump and Brexit advocate Donald Tusk have a 1 percent lead over their competition. If the election is as close as it was in 2016, the media could be saying goodbye to Tusk in July.
Philippines’ local elections: September 12
While President Duterte is expected to win his election, polls also suggest the scandal that unfolded with his younger brother and Ilocos Sur governor, Paolo Duterte, could make him more vulnerable. Elections are particularly important in the Philippines as they serve as an example of electoral accountability and democratic participation.
Denmark’s general election: September 13
With political tensions in the Middle East, news from the region often dominate headlines. And this election period has been no different. The Iranian elections, the Egyptian presidential vote and Libya’s elections have been sensational and led to increased political risk. It will be interesting to see how the EU regards the future of Libya after the elections. But Denmark’s election won’t likely affect Europe’s relationship with Iran.
Odds, measures and bracket numbers from MIT Statistics Professor David Rothschild